admin
February 21, 2016
Shinmin
Bali, Financial Express
Mumbai,
21 February 2016
Having
created quite a stir at the time of their launch, hyperlocal companies
are now witnessing a dampened mood. While several have folded
up operations in some cities, others have downsized staff, tweaked
the services they offer and even made alterations to their business
models. A recent example is Grofers shutting down operations in
Bhopal, Bhubaneswar, Coimbatore, Kochi, Ludhiana, Mysuru, Nashik,
Rajkot and Visakhapatnam.
TinyOwl last year was in the news for a poorly-handled downsizing
operation in Pune, with a dramatic hostage situation involving
its co-founder Gaurav Choudhary. PepperTap also recently shut
down operations in six cities.
Ironically, giants like Amazon have not only aggressively entered
the hyperlocal space, they are building on it. Amazon is currently
offering the service in Bengaluru, Amazon Now, after running a
pilot project, Kirana Now, in 2015.
The investor sentiment in India is also on a decline, as was
reported earlier this year. Investments by venture capitalists
have dropped from $2.12 billion (October-December 2014) to $1.15
billion (October-December 2015), according to a report by CB Insights
and KPMG International. This leaves an even shorter window of
opportunity for players to retain investor interest.
Albinder Dhindsa, co-founder, Grofers, states that differing
levels of technology literacy among the majority of merchants
and consumer adaptation to the online platform are concern areas
for the company. In 2016, the company is looking to bring over
one lakh merchants aboard and ensure that turnaround time stays
under an hour. Grofers delivers more than 35,000 orders per day
on average. In Q4 2015, the firm acquired teams of SpoonJoy and
Townrush to bring dynamic learning to the table.
For Swiggy’s co-founder Nandan Reddy, the focus is currently
to grow the market, while catering to a wide demographic of consumers.
He admits that in the early stages, the brand had trouble educating
even its partners. Furthermore, operating a delivery fleet in
an on-demand service offering sub-40 minute deliveries is a challenging
task, given that there are at least 15 points of failure in an
average order. Swiggy currently owns a delivery fleet of 3,800
delivery executives. The brand’s repeat consumers contribute
to over 80% of orders.
Debadutta Upadhyaya, co-founder, Timesaverz, says some of the
major challenges in a hyperlocal market are optimum resource utilisation
and matching locations, price points, and other specific requirements
to customer needs. Timesaverz currently has a service range spread
across 40 categories, aided by a network of over 2,500 service
partners across five metros. Its revenue model is commission based,
where 80% of earnings from consumers are shared with service partners.
Vinod Murali, MD, Innoven Capital, points out that as the hyperlocal
industry is in its nascent stages, it needs a fair amount of time
to grow. “One aspect to keep in mind is that a large sized
equity cheque does not imply that a company has achieved operational
maturity or robust business metrics, especially in this segment,”
he notes.
Given the recent consolidation in this category, the survivors
have the opportunity and time to focus on improving unit economics
and demonstrate that their businesses are viable and valuable.
Devangshu Dutta, CEO, Third Eyesight, is of the opinion that
hyperlocals make the mistake of borrowing business models and
terminologies from Silicon Valley, without adequately understanding
the real context of the Indian market. “Is there an existing
or even potential demand for the service claimed to be provided?
Or are you just going to introduce an intermediary and an additional
link in the chain, with additional costs and unnecessary administration
involved?” he asks.
(Published in Financial Express)
Devangshu Dutta
January 21, 2016
Aggregator models and hyperlocal delivery, in theory, have some significant advantages over existing business models.
Unlike an inventory-based model, aggregation is asset-light, allowing rapid building of critical mass. A start-up can tap into existing infrastructure, as a bridge between existing retailers and the consumer. By tapping into fleeting consumption opportunities, the aggregator can actually drive new demand to the retailer in the short term.
A hyperlocal delivery business can concentrate on understanding the nuances of a customer group in a small geographic area and spend its management and financial resources to develop a viable presence more intensively.
However, both business models are typically constrained for margins, especially in categories such as food and grocery. As volume builds up, it’s feasible for the aggregator to transition at least part if not the entire business to an inventory-based model for improved fulfilment and better margins. By doing so the aggregator would, therefore, transition itself to being the retailer.
Customer acquisition has become very expensive over the last couple of years, with marketplaces and online retailers having driven up advertising costs – on top of that, customer stickiness is very low, which means that the platform has to spend similar amounts of money to re-acquire a large chunk of customers for each transaction.
The aggregator model also needs intensive recruitment of supply-side relationships. A key metric for an aggregator’s success is the number of local merchants it can mobilise quickly. After the initial intensive recruitment the merchants need to be equipped to use the platform optimally and also need to be able to handle the demand generated.
Most importantly, the acquisitions on both sides – merchants and customers – need to move in step as they are mutually-reinforcing. If done well, this can provide a higher stickiness with the consumer, which is a significant success outcome.
For all the attention paid to the entry and expansion of multinational retailers and nationwide ecommerce growth, retail remains predominantly a local activity. The differences among customers based on where they live or are located currently and the immediacy of their needs continue to drive diversity of shopping habits and the unpredictability of demand. Services and information based products may be delivered remotely, but with physical products local retailers do still have a better chance of servicing the consumer.
What has been missing on the part of local vendors is the ability to use web technologies to provide access to their customers at a time and in a way that is convenient for the customers. Also, importantly, their visibility and the ability to attract customer footfall has been negatively affected by ecommerce in the last 2 years. With penetration of mobile internet across a variety of income segments, conditions are today far more conducive for highly localised and aggregation-oriented services. So a hyperlocal platform that focusses on creating better visibility for small businesses, and connecting them with customers who have a need for their products and services, is an opportunity that is begging to be addressed.
It is likely that each locality will end up having two strong players: a market leader and a follower. For a hyperlocal to fit into either role, it is critical to rapidly create viability in each location it targets, and – in order to build overall scale and continued attractiveness for investors – quickly move on to replicate the model in another location, and then another. They can become potential acquisition targets for larger ecommerce companies, which could acquire to not only take out potential competition but also to imbibe the learnings and capabilities needed to deal with demand microcosms.
High stake bets are being placed on this table – and some being lost with business closures – but the game is far from being played out yet.
Devangshu Dutta
November 17, 2015
The Patanjali Group has created an Indian FMCG giant in a very short span of time on the back of a three-pronged strategy:
Over time, the group has also invested in improving its manufacturing and packaging infrastructure to bring itself on par with well-established competitors.
The group has clearly focussed itself on the mass market, and Patanjali Group’s products become a “go-to” for customers who are more price-sensitive than brand-loyal. This definitely creates pressure on established brands in each of the product segments where the group is now present.
In the growing market for ready-to-cook packaged food, a new entrant would struggle to create visibility and initial demand. However, with the momentum of the Patanjali brand behind it, the group’s new product — instant noodles — has a fighting chance.
I must say, though, that the immediate opportunity would have been bigger had Maggi also not just relaunched in the market. The other aspect to keep in mind is that while a lot of food and nutraceutical products resonate easily with the Patanjali brand, instant noodles seem completely counter-intuitive under this brand’s umbrella. How much consumers will support this new launch remains to be seen.
This 2-4 minute noodles story is still cooking. Keep watching the pot!
admin
September 8, 2015
Devina
Joshi, Financial Express
Mumbai,
8 September 2015
Recently,
there was news of restaurant reservation site EazyDiner expanding
operations to Mumbai from the National Capital Region, having
secured Series A funding worth $3 million led by existing investor
DSG Consumer Partners, and Saamna Capital.
As per a PwC analyst, investors have pumped more than $150 million
into companies like Grofers, TinyOwl, Swiggy, LocalOye, Spoonjoy,
Zimmber and HolaChef, among others. Judging by the patronage showered
upon them by customers and investors alike, it would appear that
hyperlocal start-ups are all set to create the next big boom in
the Indian retail sector. But is it really all that rosy? Probably
not, as can be amply witnessed by acquisitions taking place in
the nascent yet already overcrowded market.
Between November 2014 and February 2015, the Rocket Internet-backed
Foodpanda acquired rivals TastyKhana and JustEat.in, and is rumoured
to be in acquisition mode with TinyOwl. Restaurant search app
Zomato, which recently got into the food ordering space, is also
reportedly looking to acquire minority stakes in food-ordering
firms.
While investors are attracted to hyperlocal start-ups, controlling
logistics well is key to sustained growth for these businesses
— all of these will definitely go through a constraint in
the supply of delivery boys, for example. In India, organising
fragmented labour is a challenge and, hence, a services-based
hyperlocal needs to figure out the mechanics of human capital
even more than a traditional, product-based e-commerce firm.
For services, another challenge is customer stickiness. If a
user uses an app to obtain the services of a plumber, for example,
he may not go through the app to contact the plumber next time
if his services are found satisfactory. Discounting can induce
trials, but just like in any other business, prove fatal in the
long run. Like what led to the end of HomeJoy in the US —
excessive discounts to dissuade direct contact between servicemen
and customers.
Even for product-based start-ups, maintaining data quality is
a big hurdle as stock and prices may not be updated by retailers
in real time, making it difficult to track offline sales.
Since the game is hyperlocal, you need to be physically present
in the city to bring retailers aboard. For that, you need a city
team. Other challenges include retailer verification and assessment,
given that hyperlocals deal with small city retailers.
Stickiness is needed on both sides, and each locality will certainly evolve into having a market leader and a follower, with other players falling far behind. “So the critical success factor for a hyperlocal is being able to rapidly create a viable model in each location it targets, and then—to build overall scale and continued attractiveness for investors—quickly move on to replicate the model in another location, and then another,” says retail consultant Devangshu Dutta of Third Eyesight. As they do that, they will become potential acquisition targets for larger ecommerce companies, which could use acquisition to not only take out potential competition but also to imbibe the learning and capabilities needed to deal with microcosms of consumer demand.
(Published in Financial Express.)
admin
September 8, 2015
Devina
Joshi, Financial Express
Mumbai,
8 September 2015
E-commerce,
as we know it, is old news. Hyperlocal is the hot new buzzword
in retail hallways, going by the recent spate of well-funded launches
in this space. There is already a wide range of services on offer,
from grocery delivery to home, office and personal care services.
Hyperlocals, services-based or inventory-based, are largely an
urban India phenomenon. Services are hyperlocal by their very
nature, driven by locality or communities. When moving into a
new city, for example, people would like to stabilise as quickly
as possible and here, such services step in.
To put the whole picture in context, the Indian retail industry
is worth $500-600 billion. Of this, grocery items account for
about 67% of the revenue. However, in case of fast moving consume
goods (FMCG) and grocery, modern retail formats account for less
than 10% of the total sale. E-commerce or hyperlocals are obviously
a tiny part of the pie just yet. Most companies, therefore, are
still at a stage where they have to prove their business models
and change consumer behaviour.
While on-demand grocery delivery—the model that players
such as Grofers ride on—has immense potential in this space,
other high potential categories include delivery of services (such
as supplying peons/delivery boys, specialised laundry services,
plumbers or electricians), price comparisons, food ordering apps,
etc.
Hyperlocal startups in India
It is a no-brainer that an aggregation model, since it is asset-light,
is less capital-intensive than the inventory-led one. Moreover,
it is easier to scale up such a model. The new generation of hyperlocal
start-ups is coupling aggregation with logistics/delivery, thus
controlling even the last mile.
Take Zopper, a product-based hyperlocal which started off as
a price comparison website for electronics but now is a platform
for purchasing products from offline stores. It counts on faster
delivery through tie-ups with local shops near a buyer. “City
by city, we need to bring more merchants on board, and all they
have to do is download an app and their product can be listed
on Zopper,” says Neeraj Jain, CEO, Zopper. The company’s
margins vary from 2-8%.
Home services start-up Taskbob, founded by Aseem Khare, charges
a 20% commission from its servicemen. Product price comparison
website MySmartPrice works on commission too, while providing
a free six-month on-board period to offline sellers, where they
can use the platform for gaining traction. The revenue model of
BookMeIn, another home services company, includes a monthly subscription
fee for a SaaS-backed system given to service providers to manage
their business. Further, it gets revenues on leads/bookings done
by customers on the website, along with revenues through ads of
service providers. So what’s working in their favour?
A fertile environment
Indian retail is still dominated by brick-and-mortar stores, which,
oddly, is an opportunity in disguise for hyperlocal players. Unlike
non-hyperlocal e-commerce, these start-ups are not really competing
with offline retailers, but are partnering them instead.
Hyperlocal business models spell instant, on-demand delivery as
they cater to needs of a more immediate nature. The gratification
is far more accelerated – the entire transaction can be completed
in an hour sometimes. Customers also tend to trust hyperlocals
more than non-hyperlocal e-commerce websites, as the stores they
buy from through online platforms have a physical presence, making
it possible to attend to any grievances quickly. Further, the
start-up can tap into existing infrastructure, acting as a bridge
between existing retailers and the consumer.
“Due to the convenience factor, by being able to tap
into consumption opportunities that might have otherwise been
missed, the aggregator can actually drive new demand to the retailer
in the short term,” says retail consultant Devangshu Dutta,
chief executive, Third Eyesight.
Within hyperlocals, services have higher margins of around 20%
as opposed to product based models which earn 2-10% margins or
even non-hyperlocal e-commerce companies, which operate on 3-7%
margins, depending on the category.
This is because there is virtually no warehousing, inventory management or logistics involved in a services hyperlocal. Within services, food-ordering apps have an added advantage of the frequency of purchase as opposed to, say, e-commerce products. “The category is a high-repeat one as opposed to home repair for example,” says Saurabh Kochhar, co-founder and CEO, India, and chief business officer, global, Foodpanda.
A word of caution
While it ensures higher margins, replication of a services model
is much more difficult. Training of people in services is very
difficult as each individual has to be available wherever the
customer is located. “Second, when a product delivery happens,
I need local people to deliver it but if a person is coming to
give a service, he represents your brand and should know how to
handle a customer,” says Alagu Balaraman, partner and MD,
Indian operations, CGN Global India, a supply chain management
consulting firm.
Third, as the services industry is rather fragmented, it is difficult
to form partnerships with associations or groups of such service
providers, as specialists are spread out across the country. Fourth,
creating a need for services might be difficult as people may
already have their own local set-up in place. “But that mindset
is changing, with a large group of urban people who don’t
have the time or patience and need professional services,”
he says.
The biggest learning will be the capability to scale. A hyperlocal that focuses on a single ‘locality’ will find it difficult to get the scale needed to create an economically viable model. Being able to identify a widespread but local need, and having a model that adapts to each new market will be crucial.
(Published in Financial Express.)
